Tuesday, February 6, 2007

TUESDAY UPDATE: February 6, 2007 5:00 PM


1. CONTINUED COLD WEATHER THIS WEEK:

2. A WEAK CLIPPER PASSES TO OUR SOUTH TONIGHT, BUT COULD BRING A TOUCH OF SNOW OVERNIGHT: MAINLY FOR SOUTHERN NJ, AND DELAWARE.

3. A BIG POST COMING LATER THIS WEEK, ON A "BIG SNOWSTORM THREAT" AND INCREASED STORMINESS STARTING NEXT WEEK ! WINTER MAKES A BIG 2nd HALF COMEBACK !

A fast moving Clipper system, now approaching the Central Apps. will move East, Southeastward tonight as it crosses through Virginia tonight and off the Mid-Atlantic Coast Wednesday morning. A band of snow associated with this clipper will produce 3" to 6" amounts over the mountains of Southern West Virginia, and SW Virginia tonight. Central and Northern parts of the Blue Ridge Mountains in Virginia may receive 2" to 4" amounts.

As the system crosses over the mountains tonight, down sloping and drier Air to the east will weaken the system considerably. Some areas in Central and Northern Virginia, mainly west of Washington D.C.(DCA) to Richmond (RIC) could receive 1" to 2" amounts tonight. For DCA and RIC, I'm calling for A Coating to 1" with some areas slightly higher mainly in the Western suburbs.

Further north in Maryland (MD) and Eastward to Delaware (DE) and Southern NJ a period of light snow or flurries can be expected during the overnight hours and ending early Wednesday morning. Most of these areas could see A Coating of snow with 1" amounts possible in some spots, over Maryland, and Central/Southern Delaware (DE)

For SE PA including (PHL) and into Central NJ: I'm only expecting some flurries with a dusting in some locations.

After this system passes, High Pressure builds back in, with continued Cold and Dry weather for the end of the week. Temperatures will moderate to the low and mid 30's for Wednesday through Friday and overnight lows in the upper teens and low 20's. Not as Harsh, but continued below normal temperatures and cold weather.

I'll be doing a big post and update later this week probably on Thursday or Friday. This will be pertaining to some indications of an increasing stormy pattern, for the early to middle part of next week. The cold weather continues and a more favorable pattern for storm development and increased Southern Jet Stream, could mark the beginnings, and on slot of potential big Snow's for our region. I predicted this in my Monthly February Forecast, or HAMMER TIME ! which you can find in last month's Blog archives, please read.

Take Care,
Ruggie

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Pretty confident on the system next week given unfavorable data from GFS and the like. I am seeing warm 850 temps with rising surface temps and a SW wind.

Given recent history with a similar system, i'm going with little snow washed away by rain at this time.

Don't get me wrong, I hope your right, but it sure does sound like a cold rain to me.

Anonymous said...

Ruggie, I stand corrected on the emphasis that you are putting on for this storm. I had some crappy model data when I made my comment before. Keep up the great job, you are on the ball.

RUGGIE WEATHER said...

Thanks, I should have a post out on Thursday or Friday, with Preliminary thoughts on this storm.

Tale Care,
Ruggie