Sunday, January 30, 2011

My 2011 February Outlook ! For PHL & The Delaware Valley Region !

It looks like a possible pattern change is coming towards mid month. Teleconnections look very bad and expect moderation to begin. I'm forecasting a pattern break down towards mid and later part of this month.

Both the AO and NAO are both trending POS, and the PNA is heading NEG, towards the 10th-15th timeframe. Near to Slightly Above normal temps can be expected for the second half of February, which are looking better with each passing day !

More storm systems will begin cutting to our west this month and From the Midwest to Central and Northern NE will likely get the snow and colder temps for much of this month.

For the Northern M/A and The Delaware Valley Region, our best shot at snow and colder temps will be between the 5th and 20th of this month, occuring during the transitional period of these teleconnections and the pattern change.


For PHL and the Delaware Valley
My Call: February 2011

Temps: 0.0 F to +2.0 F (Near to Slightly Above)

Snowfall: 6"-12" (Near Avg to Slightly Above)

Overall Precip: (Near to Slightly Above)

Take Care,
Ruggie

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