9:00 AM
Very warm and humid conditions will continue through the weekend, with Moderate to Heavy rains likely Sunday afternoon into Monday. Tropical Storm Barry, now bearing down on Florida and the SE states will move up the coast over the next several days. As the storm approaches the Carolina's on Sunday, moderate to heavy rain and Thunderstorms ahead of the system, will move into the Delaware Valley Region, during the afternoon and evening hours.
I'm forecasting rainfall amounts of 1.00" to 2.00" with locally higher amounts up to 3.00". The heaviest of this rain will fall Sunday night into early Monday. Some gusty winds of up to 35 Mph are also likely with the remnants of Barry as it positions itself near the NJ coast on Monday. Highest wind gusts will be along the DE and NJ coastline Sunday night into Monday.
At this time I'm thinking the heaviest rain Axis should be from BWI/Eastern MD up through Eastern PA. primarily from LNS to ABE. The Storm track should be close, if not along the coast, pushing the heaviest rains to the west of the center. Also with the system weakening further up our way, the expansion of precip shield as it weakens will allow for dryslotting near the center and heaviest rains to fall much further to the west. Also more favorable upslope conditions in Eastern PA with an easterly component, will also aid in heavier rainfall prospects there.I'll update tomorrow AM. with more specific rainfall amounts for the Del Valley Region.
Take Care,Ruggie
Projected track of Barry.
The Latest Surface Map with Satelitte and Radar composite.
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