Sunday, December 28, 2008

A Warm and Breezy Sunday, Followed by More Seasonable Conditions During the Week. Some Rain & Snow Possible Friday into Saturday.

A Strong SW flow of warm, moist air, ahead of a strong Cold Front, will bring an unseasonably warm day to the region today. Temperatures will will soar to the mid 60's with mostly Cloudy skies. Some showers are likely as this cold front moves through this afternoon. Skies will begin to clear quickly tonight as the front pushes off shore and our winds shift to the West and NW. This will bring in cooler air, as temps fall to the mid and upper 30's by early Monday AM.

Weak High pressure will build in for Monday, bringing Partly Sunny skies and cooler temps. Highs will be in the mid to Upper 40's and breezy conditions can be expected. A second cold front will sweep through Monday night, but this front will move through be dry and only some clouds and another wind shift to the NW. P.Cloudy with lows in the low to mid 30's.

Both Tuesday and Wednesday will be P.Sunny and Colder with Highs in the Low to mid 40's. Fair and Cold at night with lows in the Upper 20's to low 30's.

As we approach the New Year, I'm continuing to watch for the chance of some snow and rain for the Friday into Saturday time frame. A trough of low pressure and colder air will be moving our way from the Midwest and Great Lakes regions. A rather strong storm system will be moving through the Midwest and Ohio Valley on Friday. Some computer models, continue to show a possible coastal storm transfer, near the Northern M/A or SE New England coast, for Friday Night into Saturday. In most cases this would mean some snow and or rain, but not a big storm for The Delaware Valley. What I'll be watching for over the next several days are the trends. If this storm transfer should be further south over the Delmarva or VA coast, this would mean a better chance for more snow and a bigger event. So this will be watched and I'll update on this threat towards the middle of the week.

As it stands now, I think this will be minor event for the Delaware Valley, with some rain and snow on Friday with Highs in the mid to Upper 30's. This Mixed precip will change to a period of snow Friday night before ending with lows in the mid to upper 20's. On Saturday some CAA, and backlash precip will bring some snow showers and windy conditions, as the storm deepens off the Northern New England coast. Blustery and Colder, with Highs in the middle 30's.

Take Care,
Ruggie

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

COME ON SNOW!!! I AM GOING TO GET OUT AND DO THE SNOW DANCE THIS WEEK!!! SJ PLOW

RUGGIE WEATHER said...

I don't think we'll get enough snow to plow for the late week system. You better do some serious getten down with that dance this week, if want to have plowable snow. Lol

Ruggie

Anonymous said...

OH COME ON!!! WE NEED THE SNOW LIKE I REMEMBER WHEN I WAS A KID. UP TO OUR ARSESS.WHERN WILL THAT COME? SNOW DANCES ALL WEEK FOR ALL!!!LOL...LOL

RUGGIE WEATHER said...

Keep Dancing !

The 12z GFS run today is showing 4" to 8" of snow for much of Interior SJ and PHL for Friday and Friday Night.

Not my prediction, but the trends are looking better. I want to see what the 12z EURO has to say about this potential for Friday.

I'll have a better idea around Wednesday to take a shot and make a call on this POSSIBLE Snow event.
I still think We'll have mixing issues, but very early to nail this one down just yet.

Ruggie

Anonymous said...

OH....I HOPE SO. I HOPE YOU ARE RIGHT! WE NNED IT SOOOO BADLY. I WILL KEEP CHECKING. SJ PLOW

Dee said...

I'll be at Paul's from early Wednesday evening through Sunday morning, so I'll be posting obs from Oaklyn!

RUGGIE WEATHER said...

Hi Dee,
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year. I hope you had a great Christmas. I'll update tomorrow or Wednesday with more thoughts on this potential system for Friday into Friday Night.

I'm not hyping this up and going with a possible threat for some snow and or mixed precip. I still think our best chance for a good snow event, comes in the second week of January. See my post on my mid range thoughts and the first half of January.

Take Care
Ruggie

Dee said...

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to you and yours, too! ;)

No one should be hyping this storm up, since there's no model agreement this far out.

I keep telling my friends and family members...don't believe those network "Seven Day Outlooks", LOL! Many forecasts are busted after 36-72 hours.

And, they still don't believe me!