Monday, January 26, 2009

Another Big Miss for The Snow Hounds. Some Snow, Sleet/Freezing Rain, Changing To A Cold Rain.

Wednesday: 6:00 AM
Total Snowfall for Pittsgrove, NJ : 2.1"

Feel free to post your location and snowfall total, in the comments section (Bottom) of this post.

The latest Public information statements from the NWS, Mt. Holly NJ
For the latest Snowfall reports:

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=PHI&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0

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Tuesday AM Update:
Looking at the latest information this AM, I've decided to bump up the snow and sleet accumulations. Not much, but tacked on 1"-2" more inches in most locations, and extended the snow and sleet accumulations further south.

It appears the CAD signature is more in place, and colder air will hold on longer tonight. So therefore an extended period of Snow and sleet will take longer to change over later tonight and Wednesday AM over the Delaware Valley.

Also good overrunning this AM into early afternoon will give most areas from PHL south a Coating to perhaps 1" or 2" of snow.

This is my final call on the storm and (1) revision this AM. Enjoy It !

Revised Snowfall Map: (Click on map to enlarge)
Issued Tuesday AM



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DISCUSSION: 1/27/09
FINAL CALL:
UPDATED: Tuesday AM.

Another "BIG MISS", and mess of slop for the Delaware Valley snow hounds ! Even the 3rd and most favorable pattern change of this pathetic Winter season, can't produce a snowstorm here ! I'm really frustrated and burned out with this winter. Let me make this brief and quick, because I'm tired of wasting my time and efforts on this wash, rinse, repeat crap.

The entire system is a snowstorm flop. (Most Models) have shifted 100 to 150 miles North and West over the past 12 to 24 hours, so this puts us in the milder sector, as the storm passes overhead or just to our northwest on Wednesday. We start out with periods of light snow for much of Tuesday with some light accumulations, before all precip. mixes with, and changes to sleet and freezing rain during Tuesday Night from south to north. A period of steady accumulating snow can be expected during Tuesday evening. This snow changes to mixed precip overnight. then changes to a Cold rain for during Wednesday morning over the entire Delaware Valley.

For The Delaware Valley Region:
A general 2" to 4" can be expected with a few spots seeing near 5" in the far Northern Suburbs for this zone. A prolonged period of sleet and freezing rain, could cause some problems and light to moderate icing is likely for late Tuesday Night into early Wednesday AM. All precip changes to rain during the morning and into the afternoon hours. Some flurries and snow showers are possible Wednesday Night into Thursday.

The far N & W suburbs of PHL into the Lehigh Valley:
4" to 6" of snow and sleet, then moderate Icing Wednesday AM. changing to rain and sleet during Wednesday. Some Snow Showers and Flurries for Wednesday night.

For the Pocono's into NW NJ:
5" to 8" of snow and some sleet, changes to a brief period of freezing rain, then back to some snow and snow showers later in the day and Wednesday night.

As the storm moves NE and into Coastal New England later Wednesday, colder air will be pulled back down, and some backlash snow showers /Flurries are possible Wednesday Night into Thursday for the entire region. Some light additional accumulations are possible.

Take Care,
Ruggie

10 comments:

Demeter said...

I feel your pain like you don't even know!!! ugh!

Renee (krbmc) said...

Looks good Ruggie! :D

RUGGIE WEATHER said...

See my Updated Call this AM

I bumped up accumulations in most areas and expanded things further south.

Had to do it as everything is trending colder and abit more to the south with the storm track. CAD signature is looking pretty good and rather strong.Please see my update and new snowfall Map.

Enjoy for now, but still think we get moderate rain and near 40 tomorrow to wash it all away !

Ruggie

RUGGIE WEATHER said...

Hi Renee and Christine :)

Enjoy the snow tonight, because much of it will get washed away tomorrow but I think LNS(Renee) will get about 3" to 4" before the changeover. For Christine in Mt. Laurel: I'd say 2" to 3"

Good Luck and enjoy ! Thanks for the comments and coming to my site.How's things in kiddie land(Eastern) Lol. Who's fighting over 1 or 2 inches of snow, or things like who called it first ! LOL

Ruggie

Anonymous said...

HI RUGGIE, NJ SUCKS!! ANYWAY WE DID GET SOME WORK, HUBBY OUT PLOWING AND SHOVLERS OUT SINCE 3 AM. ANY THOUGHTS FOR MON/TUES STORM YET? I KNOW YOU MUST BE GUN SHY TO FORECAST ANYTHING WITH THE WAY EVERYTHING IS GOING! AGAIN NJ SUCKS FOR ANY SNOW THIS YEAR...LOL OK WILL CHECK BACK LATER. JENNY

RUGGIE WEATHER said...

Hi Jenny,
Glad to hear you finally got some plowing work.

Gotta love pushing 2" - 3" of slop and slush.

Some Models are advertising a BIG Storm for next Monday/Tuesday, but if the track doesn't shift east about 200 to 350 miles, we'll have a wind whipped rainstorm with flooding rains.

It's way too early to say with this storm, but it will be a very Strong storm. I'll try to elaborate more on this, during the Friday/Saturday timeframe.

Take Care,
Ruggie

Anonymous said...

great call LOL

Anonymous said...

great call LOL

Demeter said...

Excellent call for me, I got 2 inches...pretty much what you told me :)

RUGGIE WEATHER said...

Thanks Christine, the next storm will be fun to track !

Ruggie