My Call: A Big Hit For Sunday Night and Monday ! MECS Brings Heavy Snow To The I-95 Corridor and The Delaware Valley ! This Is The Real Deal Folks.

Pittsgrove, NJ (Eastern Salem CO)

Total Snowfall: 9.5" (Forecasted 8" to 12")

Total for the Season to date: 20.5"

Ruggie

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6:00 AM Update: 3/2/09

Light snow has just started back up here. I had a break in the action from 2:30 AM up to now at 6:00 AM

So Far: 8.3"

I'm expecting and additional 2" to 4" with the u/l low moving through during the morning hours. This snow will be mainly light to moderate. Some spots could see periods of heavier snow in banding.
Snow should taper off and end, from SW to NE between 10:00 AM and 2:00 PM today.

Ruggie
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Discussion: 2/28/09
Issued: Saturday 6:00 PM
My Call:
For the M/A and NE


This is what we've been all waiting for all Winter season ! This will be a Significant to Major East Coast Snow Storm for many areas. The storm will cover the entire eastern seaboard, mainly along and east of the Apps, from the Carolina's to New England.


This is looking more and more like a Classic Miller A storm. Strong u/l dynamics associated with the H5 low in the SE States will strengthen a surface low along the SE Coast, This storm will then phase in with the Northern Branch near the M/A and NE coast during Sunday Night into Monday. As this occurs the surface low will move up the east coast (about 100 to 200 miles offshore) I'm now thinking a strong deformation band, and possible Thunder snow will also occur with this setup. Snow will be heavy at times, especially along, and east of the I-95
Corridor from Virginia to Southeast New England.

This is a rather unusual setup for the beginning of March, as this potent closed H5 (500 mb) low digs into the Deep South and moves east into the SE States. This feature is cutoff from the main flow initially, but becomes phased with the Northern Branch Sunday into Monday. As phasing of the H5 low over the SE States and the northern stream occur towards the coast, another surface low develops near GA and SC during Sunday, and moves Northeast to the NC Coast, during Sunday night.

So with the phasing of the Northern Stream occurring, the H5 and surface low over the SE States are pulled Northeast and up the east coast. Precipitation will once again develop over much of the SE States and Lower M/A States during Sunday. With cold air in place and a Cold core H5 low, many areas from the Carolina's into VA will see accumulating snow for Sunday into Sunday night. This snow then spreads Northeast up the coast, during Sunday Night into Monday.

For the Delaware Valley Region:

Light Snow moves in for later Sunday afternoon and early evening. Snow will continue and become moderate to heavy at times Sunday night into Monday morning, especially over Extreme SE PA, DE, and Southern NJ.

During Monday snow tapers off, from southwest to northeast during the late morning and early afternoon hours. Some areas towards coastal DE and Southern NJ, could see some rain and sleet mixed in at times.

Total Snow accumulations:

PHL, Extreme SE PA :
8" to 12" can be expected.

DE, and Southern/Central NJ:
8" to 12" can be expected with possibly some sleet mixing in at times, over Coastal DE and NJ. I would also like to add some spots could see 12" to 16" amounts in heavier banding and possible thundersnow. This is most likely to Occur over DE and much of Southern and Central NJ.

North and West of PHL, NW NJ, ABE.
4" to 8" can be expected

RDG and LNS:
I have you guys on the 4" line, but 3" to 6" is a good estimate, with 2" to 4" amounts just too your west.

More discussion can be found at Easternuswx board with my Post there.
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=192593&st=60&start=60

My Snowfall Map: (Click on map to enlarge)